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New England Journal of Medicine

Massachusetts Medical Society

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match New England Journal of Medicine's content profile, based on 50 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Five-year immunogenicity and safety follow-up of the PREVAC randomized Trial of Vaccines for Zaire Ebola Virus Disease

BEAVOGUI, A. H.; Doumbia, S.; Kieh, M.; Leigh, B.; Sow, S.; Lhomme, E.; Ben-Farhat, S.; Dubois Cauwelaert, N.; Roy, C.; Diouf, W.; Idrissa, S.; Diarra, S.; Millimouno, N. P.; Diallo, F. A.; Kamara, M.; Pratt, D.; Dicko, I.; Kennedy, S. B.; Esperou, H.; Choi, E. M.; Kpetigo, A.-M. D.; D'Ortenzio, E.; Diallo, A.; Lancrey-javal, S.; Hamze, B.; Schwimmer, C.; Wiedemann, A.; Ayouba, A.; Peeters, M.; Lane, H. C.; Higgs, E.; Watson-Jones, D.; Yazdanpanah, Y.; Greenwood, B.; RICHERT, L.; Levy, Y.; PREVAC study team,

2026-06-08 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354050 medRxiv
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Background: The World Health Organization has expanded its recommendations for prophylactic Ebola vaccination for at-risk populations. Durable vaccine-induced immunity is important for sustaining outbreak preparedness in regions with recurrent Ebola virus disease (EVD). We assessed five-year persistence of vaccine-induced immune responses in adults and children from the PREVAC trial. Methods: Two large randomised phase 2 trials (NCT02876328), in adults and children aged [≥]1 year, were conducted in four west African countries. Participants were randomly assigned to placebo or to one of three Ebola vaccine strategies: Ad26.ZEBOV followed by MVA-BN-Filo at 56 days; rVSV{Delta}G-ZEBOV-GP followed by placebo; or rVSV{Delta}G-ZEBOV-GP followed by a homologous booster dose at 56 days. After 12 months of follow-up, the primary results were published, participants unblinded to their vaccine assignment, and follow-up continued for 60 months. After Month 24, placebo group recipients were offered active vaccination. Anti Ebola virus glycoprotein Immunoglobulin G (IgG) concentrations were measured for 5 years. Findings: 1401 adults and 1401 children were initially randomized, and 1315 (93.9%) adults and 1322 (94.4%) children attended at least one long-term visit. Retention was high, with 95% followed beyond 1 year and 83% completion at 5-year follow-up. For the three vaccine strategies, antibody geometric mean concentrations (GMC) declined modestly between Months 12 and 24, followed by a stable plateau from Months 24 to 60. At Month 60, antibody GMC were higher in the rVSV-based groups (1099 and 1216 EU/ml for adults; 1982 and 2347 EU/ml for children) than in the Ad26.ZEBOV, MVA-BN-Filo group (252 adults and 645 EU/ml children). Antibody persistence at Month 60 was heterogeneous, varying by age, sex, country, and baseline IgG concentration. Interpretation: Licensed Ebola vaccines induced sustained antibody responses in adults and children for up to 5 years. While the protective antibody level is unknown, these data demonstrate long-lasting immune responses from currently employed vaccine strategies.

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Undetected isoniazid resistance leads to rifampin-resistant tuberculosis

Spies, R.; Hanh, N. H.; Phu, P. T.; Lan, L. K.; Lan, K.; Hue, N. N.; Quang, N. L.; Thu, D. D. A.; Huong, N. T. L.; Thao, T. L. T. N.; Tram, T. T. B.; Ha, V. T. N.; Ha, D. T. M.; Hai, N. P.; Thuan, N. H.; Quy, T. T. K.; Lan, N. H.; Dreyer, V.; Niemann, S.; Crook, D.; Van, L. H.; Thwaites, G.; Thuong, N. T. T.; Choisy, M.; Watson, J.; Walker, T.

2026-05-24 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353840 medRxiv
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Background: Isoniazid resistance is the most common form of drug-resistant tuberculosis (TB) globally. However, WHO-recommended molecular tests available to most TB patients worldwide detect rifampin resistance only, risking under-treatment of isoniazid-resistant, rifampin-susceptible TB (HR-TB) and subsequent emergence of rifampin resistance. Methods: This prospective study (2020-2024) aimed to collect and archive sputum specimens from all adults diagnosed with rifampin-susceptible pulmonary TB in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. Cases were participants who developed rifampin-resistant recurrence; controls had rifampin-susceptible recurrence or no recurrence. Whole-genome sequencing of paired isolates distinguished acquired rifampin resistance from reinfection. The effect of pre-existing isoniazid resistance on rifampin resistance acquisition was estimated using inverse probability of treatment weighting, and the projected epidemiological impact of routine HR-TB testing was modelled. Results: 42,843 people were diagnosed with TB during the study period, from whom we archived 33,843 sputum samples. We enrolled 1,241 participants, 873 (70.4%) of whom had analysable data. 51/873 (5.8%) acquired rifampin resistance, of whom 49/51 (96.1%) had undetected isoniazid resistance. The weighted risk of acquired rifampin resistance was 2.98% (95% CI 2.08-4.50) with undetected isoniazid resistance, versus 0.03% (0.00-0.08) without (risk ratio105.42 (33.43-309.69)). Modelling projected that universal HR-TB diagnosis and treatment would reduce RR-TB incidence by 46% (35-61) over 10 years in Vietnam, with reductions of 26% (12-43) projected even where HR-TB prevalence was as low as 5%. Conclusions: Undetected, under-treated HR-TB confers a 100 fold increased risk of acquiring rifampin resistance. Routine isoniazid susceptibility testing combined with effective HR-TB treatment could substantially reduce the burden of RR-TB.

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Twelve-Month Outcomes of Intrathecal Vesemnogene Lantuparvovec for Spinal Muscular Atrophy in Children Younger than 24 Months in Low- and Middle- Income Countries

Ngu, L. H.; Mo, Q.; Li, S.; Toh, T. H.; Lee, J. N.; Lim, K. C.; Tehuteru, E. S.; Lestari, R.; Sanguansermsri, C.; Abueita, H.; Gwer, S.; Li, L.; Wang, Z.; Kirmani, S.; Chen, J. X.; Cai, Y. Y.; Zheng, N. N.; Yang, S. Y.; Liang, P. J.; Li, Y.; Lu, M.; Tang, Y.; Li, Y.; Ye, J. Z.; Shi, S. J.; Hong, J. F.; Chen, A. Y.; Zheng, C. K.; Wang, S.; Lim, T.-O.; Lahn, B. T.; Gao, A. T.

2026-05-30 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354188 medRxiv
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Introduction Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) is a monogenic neuromuscular disease caused by mutations in the survival motor neuron 1 (SMN1) gene. Onasemnogene abeparvovec is a U.S. FDA-approved single-dose gene therapy for SMA. Both its intravenous formulation (Zolgensma, approximately USD 2.13 million per patient) and intrathecal formulation (Itvisma, around USD 2.59 million per patient) are prohibitively expensive, substantially limiting accessibility in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We conducted a clinical study of vesemnogene lantuparvovec, an alternative to onasemnogene abeparvovec developed for use in LMIC settings. Methods Sixteen patients with SMA, including 8 with type 1 SMA and 8 with type 2 SMA, received a single intrathecal administration of vesemnogene lantuparvovec. Eleven patients were treated with a low dose (1.5 * 10^14 vg) and five with a high dose (3.0 * 10^14 vg). The primary endpoints were safety and efficacy, assessed by changes from baseline in developmental gross motor milestones according to the World Health Organization criteria. Overall survival was primarily evaluated in type 1 SMA patients. This trial was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06288230. Results As of the March 2026 cutoff date, 15 of 16 treated patients had completed at least 12 months of follow-up after treatment, while the remaining one type 1 SMA patient died of disease progression at month 6 post-treatment. At 12 months post-treatment, among the surviving 7 patient with type 1 SMA, the median age was 21.6 months (range, 16.1 to 32.3 months). Among the 16 treated patients, the median age at diagnosis was 4.4 months (range, 0.0 to 18.0 months), and the median age at dosing was 10.7 months (range, 2.8 to 22.5 months). All patients experienced at least one AE. Thirty-one AESIs were reported in 13 patients, including hepatotoxicity, thrombocypenia-related events and cardiac events. No patient required prolonged prednisolone prophylaxis. SAEs, including pneumonia, lower respiratory tract infection, upper respiratory tract infection, and haemorrhagic diarrhoea, occurred in 5 of 8 (63%) patients with type 1 SMA and 2 of 8 (25%) patients with type 2 SMA. Two patients with type 1 SMA required invasive ventilation, and one of whom subsequently died. At 12 months post-treatment, 11 of 16 treated patients (69%) gained at least one new WHO motor milestone versus baseline, including 3 type 1 and 8 type 2 SMA patients; one type 2 patient gained six WHO motor milestones and achieved independent walking. Conclusions In patients younger than 24 months of age with type 1 or type 2 SMA, a single intrathecal dose of vesemnogene lantuparvovec was safe and generally well tolerated and was associated with improvements in developmental gross motor milestones compared with outcomes observed among referred but untreated patients. Additional studies are required to further evaluate the long-term safety and efficacy of this gene therapy.

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Sustained Specific EBOV GP Immunogenicity Five-Years Post-Vaccination: Longitudinal Results from North Kivu and Equateur, Democratic Republic of the Congo

Merritt, S.; Hoff, N. A.; Mukadi, P. K.; Kompany, J. P.; Halbrook, M.; Tambu, M.; Beya, M.; Kalengi, H.; Etuk, V.; Wong, T. A.; Muyembe, J.-J. T.; Kelly, J. D.; Kaba, D.; Hensley, L.; Lehrer, A. T.; Kindrachuk, J.; Mbala-Kingebeni, P.; Rimoin, A. W.

2026-05-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353493 medRxiv
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Ebola virus disease (EVD), caused by the Ebola virus (EBOV), is characterized by high morbidity and mortality, with 16 distinct EVD outbreaks reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), alone. As part of the formal response to the 2018 outbreaks in Equateur and North Kivu provinces, a recombinant vesicular stomatitis virus-Zaire Ebolavirus envelope glycoprotein vaccine (rVSV-ZEBOV-GP) vaccine was deployed under emergency use. While clinical trials have evaluated vaccine safety and efficacy, there is a paucity of real-world data documenting antibody durability for longer periods post-vaccination. Here, we present serologic data from 1081 individuals in Beni, North Kivu (n = 599) and Mbandaka, Equateur (n = 482) who were vaccinated during the outbreaks--with samples from baseline up to five-years following vaccination. Using a multiplexed immunoassay, we show sustained anti-EBOV GP reactivity: at year-5 collection, 72% of individuals naive at time of vaccination remained seroreactive to EBOV GP. Stratifying by site, antibody titers remained significantly elevated after baseline across all post-vaccination timepoints in both linear and logistic mixed-effects models. Pre-existing EBOV GP reactivity at baseline was the strongest independent predictor of antibody response in Mbandaka, associated with higher titers and greater odds of seropositivity (OR = 3.87, 95% CI: 2.50-6.01, p-value < 0.001), consistent with a boosting effect among previously exposed individuals. However, this was not replicated in Beni (OR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.27-1.58, p-value = 0.348). In Mbandaka, among those recipients who reported receiving a booster dose, the odds of seroreactivity were 12.75-fold (p-value < 0.001) and 3.68-fold higher (p-value = 0.04) at 4.2 and 5-years post-vaccination, respectively, in comparison to odds of reactivity at three weeks following administration of the initial dose. Occupational groups with zoonotic or community-level exposure had trending lower odds of seroreactivity relative to healthcare workers, most consistently in Beni. Ultimately, these data indicate that five years following administration of the rVSV-ZEBOV-GP vaccine, most vaccinated individuals retain detectable anti-EBOV GP antibodies. While correlates of protection for EVD are not well established, sustained IgG seroreactivity to EBOV GP may serve as a marker for future understandings of the durability of and variation in immune responses to this high-consequence pathogen.

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Cross-reactive Bundibugyo antibody responses after licensed Ebola vaccines

Lhomme, E.; Wiedemann, A.; Ayouba, A.; Ben-Farhat, S.; Thaurignac, G.; Roy, C.; BEAVOGUI, A. H.; Doumbia, S.; Kieh, M.; Leigh, B.; Sow, S.; Migueles, S. A.; Watson-Jones, D.; Yazdanpanah, Y.; THIEBAUT, R.; Peeters, M.; RICHERT, L.; Levy, Y.; PREVAC study Team,

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354223 medRxiv
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Background: The ongoing Bundibugyo virus disease (BDBV) outbreak in Central Africa highlights the absence of approved vaccines specifically targeting BDBV. Whether licensed Zaire ebolavirus (EBOV) vaccines induce cross-reactive immunity against BDBV remains largely unknown. Methods: We performed an immunogenicity analysis using serum samples from participants enrolled in the PREVAC randomized clinical trial evaluating licensed Ebola vaccine strategies in West Africa. Samples collected at day 28 (D28) and month 3 (M3) following vaccination with rVSV{Delta}G-ZEBOV-GP or Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo were assessed using a multiplex Luminex assay against glycoproteins from multiple filoviruses, including EBOV Kikwit, EBOV Mayinga, BDBV, Sudan virus, Reston virus, and Marburg virus. Results: A total of 179 samples were analysed. Detectable cross-reactive antibody responses against BDBV were observed across vaccine groups, timepoints, and age categories. However, BDBV responses remained substantially lower than homologous EBOV responses. In rVSV recipients, median BDBV responses (net MFI) reached 282 (IQR 164-644) at D28 compared with 1788 (832-3311) against the homologous Kikwit antigen. Similar patterns were observed following rVSV booster vaccination and Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo vaccination. The heterologous Ad26/MVA regimen demonstrated increasing BDBV responses between D28 and M3. Conclusions: Licensed EBOV vaccines induced detectable but quantitatively reduced cross-reactive antibody responses against BDBV. Although no direct assessment of vaccine efficacy against BDBV disease was possible, these findings support the plausibility of partial heterologous immunity following EBOV vaccination. In the absence of approved BDBV-specific vaccines, these data support the urgent evaluation of currently available Ebola vaccines during BDBV outbreaks and reinforce the importance of developing broadly protective pan-filovirus vaccines.

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Targeted Tuberculosis (TB) Vaccination Strategies in the United States: A Modeling Study

Rothman, J.; Castro, K. G.; Lopman, B.; Gandhi, N. R.; Nelson, K.

2026-05-14 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.11.26352914 medRxiv
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BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) incidence in the United States has remained elevated above pre-pandemic levels since 2021, with over 85% of cases resulting from reactivation of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) infection. New vaccines that would prevent TB in adults are under development, but the potential health impact of a program prioritizing non-U.S.-born persons and persons with medical comorbidities, including persons living with HIV (PLWH), has not been evaluated. MethodsWe developed a deterministic compartmental transmission model that simulates Mtb infection, transmission, and progression to TB in the U.S., both in the general population and in key high-risk groups. We calibrated the model to 2024 U.S. TB surveillance data and estimated annual cases prevented, percent reduction in annual TB cases, and number needed to vaccinate (NNV, a measure of vaccine program efficiency) at equilibrium conditions for targeted vaccination strategies under optimistic and plausible scenarios, varying assumptions of vaccine efficacy, duration of protection, and achieved vaccination coverage in high-risk groups. FindingsUnder an optimistic scenario, vaccinating PLWH, non-U.S.-born persons, and persons with medical comorbidities (all high-risk groups) prevented 5,385 cases per year (51{middle dot}8% reduction, NNV = 366). Under a more conservative plausible scenario, the same strategy prevented 1,348 cases per year (13{middle dot}0% reduction, NNV = 510). The efficiency and impact of targeting strategies we considered were preserved across all sensitivity and uncertainty analyses. InterpretationTargeted vaccination of persons with Mtb infection in population subgroups recognized to be at high-risk for TB can reduce incidence substantially. Strategies that include non- U.S.-born persons and PLWH are most efficient and impactful. FundingAmerican Lung Association, U.S. National Institutes of Health, and the Ferguson Fellowship.

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Transgene Expression Kinetics and Replication Potential of Recombinant Adenovirus Serotype 4 in a Mouse Model and its Use as a Herpes Simplex Virus Vaccine

Vostal, A. C.; Maciorowski, D.; Readler, J. M.; Pytel, I. S.; Patamawenu, A.; Cooney, C.; Roeder, P. M.; Roenicke, R.; Veer, F. v.; Kim, T.; Ober, E.; Yi, Y.; Gu, J.; Harrison, M.; Kim, B.; Liu, G.; Dowdell, K.; Hostal, A.; Wang, K.; Connors, M.; Cohen, J. I.

2026-05-17 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.15.725395 medRxiv
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Human adenovirus serotype 4 (Ad4) is used as a replication-competent oral vaccine that safely and effectively prevents Ad4 respiratory illness in US military personnel. Recombinant Ad4 vaccine candidates elicit mucosal and systemic immune responses against respiratory viruses in hamsters, nonhuman primates, and humans. Although evaluation of Ad4 vaccine candidates in mice would be extremely useful given the large number of immunologic tools available, this has been limited by concerns about a lack of viral replication in these animals. Here we generated recombinant Ad4 vectors that express either luciferase (Ad4-Luc) or herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) glycoprotein D (Ad4-gD2) to identify transgene expression kinetics, the presence of Ad4 vector replication, and HSV-2 immune responses and protection against HSV-2 infection. Local luciferase activity was observed from 7 hours to 20 days after intranasal inoculation of BALB/c and humanized mice. Subsequent inoculations with Ad4-Luc showed reduced luciferase expression in BALB/c mice, but robust expression in humanized mice, suggesting an immune response to the vector in wild-type mice. Ad4 DNA, but not luciferase activity, was reduced in the lungs of BALB/c mice treated with cidofovir before inoculation with Ad4, implying that Ad4 replicated, albeit at a low level, in the lungs. Intranasal vaccination of mice with Ad4-gD2 resulted in HSV-2 neutralizing antibody in the serum, and after HSV-2 intravaginal challenge reduced disease scores, increased survival, and reduced shedding. Overall, the BALB/c mouse model is semi-permissive to Ad4 mucosal infection, but transgene expression is sufficient for the study of Ad4-based vaccine candidates. ImportanceMucosal surfaces serve as the primary site of infection and shedding for many viral pathogens. Immune responses at mucosal sites provide protection, but few mucosal vaccines are licensed. The oral replication-competent adenovirus serotype 4 (Ad4) vaccine is used to prevent respiratory illness in military recruits, has an extraordinary record of safety and efficacy and has been tested as a recombinant platform for other viruses. Further development of this vaccine platform has been partially hindered by the perceived inability to evaluate vaccine candidates in mice. Here we characterize recombinant Ad4 transgene expression kinetics and viral replication after inoculation at various sites and show protection against herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) genital disease in mice after intranasal vaccination. We show that Ad4 can induce protective efficacy, even in a semi-permissive mouse model, suggesting this is a promising vector for HSV-2 and potentially other viral pathogens.

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Serological thresholds of risk reduction for infant group B streptococcus disease

Cantrell, L.; Karampatsas, K.; Andrews, N.; Beach, S.; Bentley, E.; Berardi, A.; Bijlsma, M. W.; Cagil Kocana, C.; Daniel, O.; French, N.; Hall, T.; Izu, A.; Khalil, A.; Kwatra, G.; Kyohere, M.; Madhi, S. A.; Mboizi, R.; Miselli, F.; Nielsen, M.; Thorn, N.; van de Beek, D.; Walker, K.; Heath, P. T.; Le Doare, K.; Voysey, M.; PREPARE WP3 Study Group,

2026-06-06 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26353453 medRxiv
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Vaccines to prevent infant group B streptococcus (GBS) disease are advancing, with licensure likely based on safety and immunologic endpoints rather than clinical efficacy data. This approach requires robust, generalisable serological thresholds of risk reduction (SToRRs). We combined data from six case-control studies in Europe and Africa to define SToRRs for early-onset (EOD) and late-onset (LOD) GBS disease. Across diverse epidemiological and healthcare settings, anti-capsular polysaccharide IgG concentrations were consistently higher in infants who remained disease free than in those who developed disease. Higher antibody concentrations were required to reduce the risk of EOD than LOD, and higher concentrations were required for serotype Ia than for serotype III. This study provides a quantitative framework to support correlates-based evaluation and potential licensure of maternal GBS vaccines.

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Methotrexate and Prednisolone compared to placebo and prednisolone in the treatment of Erythema Nodosum Leprosum - an international multicentre, double-blind randomised controlled clinical trial - MaPs in ENL

de Barros, B.; Sultana, F.; Maximus, N.; Pai, V. V.; Wakade, A.; Bhame, B.; Acharya, B.; Hamza, A.; Getachew, A.; Alinda, M. D.; Listiawan, M. Y.; Nigusse, S. D.; Hagge, D. A.; Napit, I.; Shah, M.; Darlong, J.; Nicholls, P.; Bernd, B.; Lambert, S. M.; Lockwood, D. N. J.; Walker, S. L.

2026-05-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353561 medRxiv
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Background Erythema nodosum leprosum (ENL) is a severe inflammatory complication of leprosy that often requires prolonged corticosteroid therapy which is associated with adverse effects. Methotrexate is an affordable immunomodulatory agent with limited evidence for its use in ENL treatment. We evaluated whether weekly oral methotrexate in additional to prednisolone reduces the need for additional prednisolone in adults with severe ENL. Methods and Findings We performed an international, multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial conducted at five leprosy referral centres in Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, and Nepal. Adults aged 18-60 years with severe ENL were randomised to receive oral methotrexate and prednisolone, or matching placebo and prednisolone. All participants received an identical prednisolone regime over 20 weeks and were followed for 60 weeks. The primary outcome was time to first ENL flare requiring additional prednisolone, assessed over 24 and 48 weeks. Between January 2023 and June 2024, 231 individuals were screened and 137 were randomised (68 methotrexate and prednisolone; 69 placebo and prednisolone). By 24 weeks, 85/137 (62.0%) participants experienced an ENL flare requiring additional prednisolone; the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for methotrexate versus placebo was 0.98 (95% CI 0.62-1.54). By 48 weeks, 102/137 (74.5%) experienced an ENL flare; adjusted HR 0.95 (95% CI 0.62-1.43). Secondary outcomes were similar: methotrexate did not reduce ENL severity at first flare, flare frequency, or severity of subsequent flares. Health-related quality of life improved substantially in both groups with no evidence of a differential treatment effect. Methotrexate was generally well tolerated. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03775460). Conclusions Oral methotrexate added to prednisolone did not reduce the requirement for additional prednisolone or delay ENL flares compared to placebo and prednisolone, and our study does not support the use of methotrexate for severe ENL.

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Low seroprevalence of neutralizing antibodies to gorilla adenovirus 32 (GRAd32) in southern African populations supports evaluation of this vector platform for HIV vaccine development

Mkhize, N. N.; patjane, A.; Shusha, N.; Welsh, A.; Hermanus, T.; Kgagudi, P.; Motlou, T.; Bekker, L.-G.; Gray, G.; Garrett, N.; Fairlie, L.; Sigal, A.; Burgers, W.; Mangwaku, T.; Makadzange, T.; Colloca, S.; Folgori, A.; Moyo-Gwete, T.; Gentile, M.; Capone, S.; Moore, P. L.

2026-05-26 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.23.726423 medRxiv
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Adenoviruses (Ads) are widely used as vaccine vectors. However, pre-existing immunity to commonly used serotypes, like Ad5, can reduce vaccine immunogenicity, with neutralizing antibody titers >200 previously shown to impact vaccine efficacy. Gorilla adenovirus (GRAd) vectors have been developed to evade pre-existing anti-vector responses, but their seroprevalence in southern Africa is poorly defined. Here, we assessed seroprevalence to GRAd32, Ad26 and Ad5 before (baseline) and after COVID-19 vaccination, in cohorts from South Africa and Zimbabwe. Sera from South African participants enrolled in the Sisonke sub-study (n=100, prior to Ad26.COV2.S vaccination) and the follow-up "Booster after Sisonke" (BaSiS) study (n=226) were tested for neutralizing antibodies to Ad5, Ad26, and GRAd32. These samples included paired pre/post boost samples for 27 donors. We also tested sera from the Zimbabwean Mutala cohort (n=131, of which 44 were unvaccinated, and 87 vaccinated with inactivated vaccines). Participants living with HIV (PLWH) comprised 30-50% of each cohort. In the pre-vaccination samples from the Sisonke cohort, geometric mean titers (GMT) for anti-GRAd32, Ad26, and Ad5 antibodies were 78, 142, and 459, with neutralization titers >200 observed in 14%, 32%, and 68% of participants, respectively. Similarly, in the unvaccinated participants in the Mutala cohort, GMTs for GRAd32, Ad26, and Ad5 were 117, 245, and 536, with neutralizing titers >200 in 22%, 42%, and 69% of participants. We observed no significant difference in Ad antibody titers between PLWH and those living without HIV. We next assessed the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on titers. Vaccination with inactivated COVID-19 vaccines (Sinopharm/Sinovac) did not significantly affect Ad5, Ad26 or GRAd32 titers in an unpaired analysis. In contrast, [~]9 months after Ad26.COV2.S vaccination, anti-Ad26 titers for longitudinally sampled participants (n=27) increased 10-fold from a GMT of 141 to 1,426. By comparison, GRAd32 responses were not significantly altered by Ad26.COV2.S vaccination, while anti-Ad5 responses showed a modest <2-fold increase. Our data support previous findings that, whereas anti-Ad5 neutralizing antibody responses are commonly detected globally, GRAd32 responses are less frequent. Importantly, GRAd32 neutralizing responses remained unchanged after Ad26.COV2.S vaccination. HIV status had no significant effect on antibody titers. These results support the use of the GRAd32 vector in upcoming HIV vaccine trials, including in regions where Ad26-based COVID-19 vaccines were widely deployed.

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Number Needed to Vaccinate with a Novel Tuberculosis Vaccine to Prevent Tuberculosis in High-Risk Populations, United States

Rothman, J. E.; Castro, K. G.; Lopman, B.; Gandhi, N. R.; Nelson, K.

2026-05-15 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.11.26352950 medRxiv
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We estimated the number needed to vaccinate (NNV) with an M72/AS01E-like vaccine to prevent one tuberculosis case in U.S. high-risk groups. Targeted vaccination of Mycobacterium tuberculosis-infected persons yielded NNVs of 217 (persons with HIV) to 2,486 (U.S.-born), within the range of established adult vaccines.

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Antigenic seniority and convergent haemagglutinin evolution shaped the immune landscape preceding influenza B/Yamagata's extinction

Steventon, R.; Lee, M.; Gregory, R.; Stolle, L.; Mcinally, C.; Jarvis, L.; Robb, N. C.; Carnell, G.; Temperton, N. J.; Obolski, U.; Cherny, S.; Thompson, C. P.

2026-05-24 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.17.26353389 medRxiv
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Background: In 2020, the B/Yamagata lineage of influenza B disappeared from circulation. Understanding the immunological conditions preceding this loss can help explain why the lineage disappeared and has implications for our understanding of viral evolution and ongoing vaccine policies. Methods: We measured neutralising antibody responses in age- and sex-matched blood donor cohorts collected in 2020, 2023, and 2025 (n=114 per cohort) against a panel of pseudotyped influenza B viruses spanning 79 years of evolution, validated against live virus neutralisation assays. We performed antibody pulldown assays using full-length and head domain HA proteins from B/Yamagata (B/Phuket/3073/2013) and B/Victoria (B/Washington/02/2019) lineages, testing purified antibodies against chronologically distinct pseudotyped viruses. We used Bayesian network analysis, and LASSO regression to identify potential molecular determinants of cross-lineage neutralisation which were then confirmed via site-directed mutagenesis, and epitope-specific peptide pulldowns. Findings: In 2020, population immunity was asymmetrically focused on B/Yamagata viruses. Despite no B/Yamagata circulation after 2020, neutralisation of recent B/Yamagata strains increased in 2023 while B/Victoria responses remained unchanged, consistent with antigenic seniority directing recall responses toward B/Yamagata. This trend inverted by 2025, with B/Yamagata immunity declining and B/Victoria immunity increasing. Antigen-specific purified antibodies showed lineage-biased potency, neutralising B/Yamagata viruses more effectively than B/Victoria viruses. We identified the 120-loop of the HA head domain as a critical cross-lineage epitope, with the charge state at a single convergently evolving residue at position 131 determining cross-reactive potency between lineages. Interpretation: B/Yamagata's acquisition of a positively charged residue at position 131, shared with B/Victoria, likely increased its cross-neutralisation by Victoria-raised immunity preceding its disappearance. Although antigenic seniority sustained cross-reactive responses to B/Yamagata after its extinction, the waning of this effect by 2025 suggests that population immunity to B/Yamagata is now declining. This has implications for influenza B vaccine policy.

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Immunological imprinting shapes the cross-reactive antibody responses to the KP.2 and LP.8.1 vaccine doses

Kumar, S.; Lai, L.; Ellis, M.; Patel, A. B.; Joshi, D. J.; Velden, J. V.; Faraj, J. Z. A.; Wimalasena, S. T.; Pallavi, R. R.; Iriss, J.; Bechnak, K.; Edupuganti, S.; Rouphael, N.; Ortlund, E.; Moreno, A.; Menachery, V. D.; Zarnitsyna, V. I.; Wrammert, J.; Suthar, M. S.

2026-05-15 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.13.725047 medRxiv
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The emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2.86 subvariant, a lineage derived from the BA.2 strain, led to the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine update to include KP.2 or related JN.1-lineage spike antigens. We evaluated the magnitude, breadth, and durability of humoral immune responses following a single KP.2 vaccine dose in a longitudinal cohort of 21 individuals up to six months. KP.2 vaccination increased spike-specific binding and neutralizing antibodies against the ancestral WA1 strain, alongside the BA.5, XBB.1.5, and KP.2 variants. Power law modeling estimated half-lives for WA1- and KP.2-specific IgG responses at 770 and 248 days, respectively. Additionally, the KP.2 dose increased IgG1 and IgG4 subclasses more than IgG2 and IgG3 responses to both spike proteins. Serum depletion experiments using WA1 or KP.2 proteins demonstrated most vaccine-elicited antibodies were cross-reactive. Consequently, KP.2 vaccine-induced antibodies retained broad neutralizing activity against recently circulating Omicron subvariants (BA.2.86, KP.3.1.1, XEC, LP.8.1, LF.7, XFG.3.12, PQ.1, BA.3.2.1, and RE.2). Using a live virus neutralization assay, XFG.3.12 showed the greatest reduction in neutralizing titers relative to KP.2 (4.2-fold). In a small subset, an LP.8.1 vaccine dose increased neutralizing activity against the matched variant while maintaining WA1 and KP.2 cross-reactivity, but only modestly increased antibodies to divergent variants BA.3.2.1 and RE.2. Ultimately, these data indicate the KP.2 mRNA vaccine generates durable, cross-reactive responses against current Omicron subvariants. However, ongoing spike evolution impacts neutralization of emerging lineages, highlighting the need for continued viral monitoring and timely vaccine updates. IMPORTANCESARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve, raising ongoing concerns about how well updated vaccines protect against emerging variants. This study evaluates antibody responses after KP.2 spike mRNA vaccine dose and shows that a single dose induces durable and broadly cross-reactive immunity against both earlier strains and recently circulating Omicron subvariants. Despite this breadth, reduced neutralizing activity against certain emerging variants indicates that ongoing antigenic changes can impact vaccine induced antibody effectiveness. These findings provide insight into how current vaccines perform over time and highlight the need to track viral evolution and update vaccine antigens to maintain broad protection against severe disease, hospitalization, and death.

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Increased burden of influenza A/H1N1pdm09 in older adults following the COVID-19 pandemic

de Jong, S. P. J.; Russell, C. A.

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.20.26353664 medRxiv
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Of the two influenza A virus (IAV) subtypes circulating endemically in humans, A/H3N2 and A/H1N1pdm09, A/H3N2 has historically been the dominant driver of disease burden in older adults. Based on an analysis of publicly available global surveillance data from 2015 to 2025 (>300,000 subtyped, age-stratified infections), we report a substantially increased contribution of A/H1N1pdm09 to influenza morbidity in older adults since approximately 2022. Birth cohort-stratified analyses suggest elevated A/H1N1pdm09 burden among individuals born before 1955-1959, consistent with erosion of pre-existing immunity originally generated by exposure to historical A/H1N1 strains. Pooled estimates across datasets and analytical approaches indicate the increase in A/H1N1pdm09 burden rises with earlier birth year, ranging from 1.22-fold (95% CI 1.08-1.37) for the 1955-1959 birth cohort to 3.10-fold (95% CI 2.58-3.72) for the 1930-1934 cohort. These findings point to a substantial rise in the overall influenza burden among the most vulnerable age groups, with implications for vaccine policy, clinical management, and public health planning.

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Duration of intestinal mucosal antibody responses to poliovirus in children routinely immunised with bivalent oral polio vaccine and inactivated polio vaccine in Tanzania: A longitudinal cohort and cross-sectional study

Cordeiro, A. A.; Miall, N.; Lee, M. H.; Ackerman, M. E.; Weiner, J. A.; Sami, S.; Mcharo, O.; Miyaye, E.; Ulomi, N.; Godin, A.; Arita, M.; Mhango, L.; Burke, R. M.; Campbell, O. B. L.; de Jong, D.; Hoekstra, P. T.; van Dam, G. J.; Corstjens, P.; Ward, M.; Westblade, L. F.; Hokororo, A.; Kinung'hi, S.; Wieland-Alter, W.; Connor, R. I.; Brickley, E. B.; Downs, J. A.; Wright, P. F.

2026-06-01 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354450 medRxiv
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Background: Mucosal immunity is critical for preventing poliovirus transmission. Despite evidence that infant immunisation protects against poliovirus infection into adulthood, the duration of vaccine-induced intestinal antibody responses remains poorly characterised. Methods: We evaluated poliovirus type-specific neutralising activity and immunoglobulin levels in stool and serum from children in Tanzania who completed routine poliovirus vaccine series (bivalent oral polio vaccine at birth, 6, 10, and 14-weeks, and inactivated polio vaccine at 14-weeks). The study included a longitudinal cohort with four visits over 6 months and a cross-sectional sample of children recruited 1 to 108-months after vaccine series completion. Potential modification by nutritional factors, gastrointestinal infections, and environmental enteropathy was explored. Findings: Among 103 longitudinal and 246 cross-sectional participants enrolled, 33% and 18% had positive poliovirus type-1 (PV1) stool neutralisation, and 66% and 56% had positive poliovirus type-3 (PV3) neutralisation 1 month after vaccination. All were seropositive for PV1 and PV3 across timepoints. Infants followed longitudinally who were stool neutralisation-positive at enrolment had no boost in neutralisation after vaccination, while those stool neutralisation-negative at enrolment experienced a weak boost at 1 month. Stool neutralisation half-life among longitudinal cohort infants was 3.4 months [95% CI 2.6-5.0] for PV1 and 1.7 months [1.4-2.3] for PV3. Moderate evidence suggested concurrent viral intestinal infections were associated with lower neutralisation responses (PV1 p=0.153; PV3 p=0.052). Interpretation: Intestinal antibody responses to poliovirus vaccination were short-lived. The impact of waning intestinal antibodies on transmission risk remains unclear and research is needed to identify vaccination strategies that induce durable mucosal immunity.

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The Burden and Genomic Characterization of Shigella-Associated Diarrhea in Children Under Five in Lusaka, Zambia: A Prospective Cohort Study

Chibuye, m. M.; Harris, V. C.; Brizuela, J.; Bosomprah, S.; Simuyandi, M.; Mwape, K.; Silwamba, S.; Liswaniso, F.; Chibesa, K.; Miti, S.; Piedade, G.; Luchen, C. C.; Chisenga, C. C.; Mende, D. R.; Schultsz, C.; Chilengi, R.

2026-05-21 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.14.26353268 medRxiv
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Background: Shigella is a leading cause of childhood diarrhea in low- and middle-income countries and is increasingly resistant to first-line antibiotics. We conducted a surveillance study to determine the incidence, genomic characteristics, and AMR profiles of Shigella infections in children under five with moderate to severe diarrhea (MSD) in Lusaka, Zambia. Methods: Between 15 September 2020 and 30 November 2021, a prospective cohort study of 1,400 children under five was enrolled during a community census in a peri-urban setting and passively followed for 9.5 months for MSD. During enrollment, socio-demographic data were collected using electronic questionnaires, while clinical data were collected through the DHIS platform. The main outcome, Shigella in diarrheal stool in under 5 children, was detected using culture and Loop-mediated Isothermal Amplification (LAMP) targeting the ipaH gene. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the incidence and risk factors of Shigella (ipaH) infections. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) was used to characterize the genomic diversity and antimicrobial resistance genes, complemented by phenotypic antibiotic susceptibility testing. Results: There were 230 first episodes of Shigella over a follow-up time of 9,581.7 child-months, yielding an incidence of 24.0 (95% CI 21.1-27.3) cases per 1,000 child-months, with the highest incidence among 2 to 3-year-olds. The key risk factors identified were the water source (p=0.025) and age group (p=0.014). Genotypic characterization revealed 10 S. flexneri, 9 S. sonnei, and 3 S. boydii. The S. sonnei isolates formed two clusters, differing in virulence factors and plasmid profiles, indicating two possible circulating strains. Shigella isolates exhibited phenotypic and genotypic multidrug resistance, including against trimethoprim, aminoglycosides, and beta-lactams. Plasmid-mediated quinolone resistance (qnrS1) was identified in four S. flexneri isolates, with these genes located on the IncFIB(K) plasmid, highlighting the potential for horizontal transmission and spread of quinolone resistance in this region. No phenotypic and genotypic resistance to macrolides, the first-line treatment for Shigella in Zambia, was observed. Interpretation: We report a high burden of Shigella with multidrug resistance, including resistance to fluoroquinolones. These findings highlight the increasing resistance of Shigella to first-line antibiotics and underscore the importance of developing safe and effective vaccines, improving WASH conditions, and ongoing AMR surveillance. Funding: The EDCTP2 program, supported by the European Union, the Faculty for the Future Foundation (FFTF), the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development (ZonMw), and Health-Holland AMR-Global, Gloria, and Track-AMR.

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Filovirus Evidence Maps: A community resource to identify and curate the published evidence on immunity and vaccination for BDBV, EBOV, MARV, and SUDV

Chung, Y.; Bailey, B. A.; Bowden-Reif, E.; Csolle, M.; Docken, S. S.; Jachno, K.; Khoury, D. S.; McDonald, S.; Pattuwage, L.; White, H.; Zazryn, T.; Turner, T.; Davenport, M. P.

2026-05-24 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353826 medRxiv
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Filoviruses pose a threat to individuals and the global community as pathogens of pandemic potential. The scientific community faces an ongoing challenge of developing effective vaccines with unpredictable outbreaks concentrated in countries with lower healthcare resources. Given these limitations, it is important to ensure that existing filovirus research is used as efficiently as possible. To enable rapid identification and use of this research, we have developed evidence maps of existing filovirus publications to enable further analysis and synthesis. We systematically identified and categorised existing immunological and clinical publications on Bundibugyo (BDBV), Marburg (MARV), Sudan (SUDV) and Ebola (EBOV) viruses. We captured studies that reported on animal or human immune responses to infection, outcome of infection, or human vaccine safety data. Initial searches of PubMed, Embase and Europe PMC were run between November 2024 and January 2025 and the MARV, SUDV and EBOV searches were updated on 1 August 2025. A BDBV search was conducted on 18 May 2026 in response to the WHO declaration of a Public Health Emergency on 17 May 2026. The initial searches retrieved 208, 1646, 534 and 3963 manuscripts for BDBV, MARV, SUDV and EBOV, respectively. After screening using an a priori exclusion criteria, 49 BDBV, 198 MARV, 149 SUDV and 850 EBOV publications were included on each evidence map. These maps provide a comprehensive, transparent and reproducible structure to categorise existing studies of filovirus vaccination and immunity. They allow rapid identification of the totality of available evidence and the existing experimental tools to support vaccine development for these priority pathogens.

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A phase 1 randomized controlled trial to evaluate the safety and immunogenicity of a HIV monomeric gp120 protein B-cell lineage targeting HIV vaccine in healthy adults

Kobie, J. J.; Williams, W. B.; Hahn, W. O.; Edlefsen, P. T.; Brewinski Isaacs, M.; Miner, M. D.; Parks, K. R.; De Rosa, S. C.; An, H.; Yurdadon, C.; Spreng, J.; Hwang, J.; Clark, M.; Jain, V.; Gregory, S. G.; Berry, M.; Wiehe, K.; Geopfert, P. A.; Tieu, H.-V.; Keefer, M. C.; Baden, L. R.; Kalams, S.; Morgan, C.; Montefiori, D. C.; Ferrari, G.; Regenold, S.; Tomaras, G. D.; McElrath, M. J.; Corey, L.; Sobieszczyk, M. E.; Haynes, B. F.

2026-05-27 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353896 medRxiv
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Background: The isolation of many HIV broadly neutralizing antibodies (bnAbs) from people living with HIV (PLWH) and rigorous characterization of their ontogeny has promoted the goal of reverse engineering their natural development as a strategy for achieving an effective preventive HIV vaccine. We previously described the developmental process of CH103, a CD4-binding site (CD4bs)-specific monoclonal antibody, and the associated evolution of HIV Envelopes (Envs) within the person (CH505) from whom it was isolated. A series of monomeric gp120 protein subunit immunogens representing the transmitted founder (TF) and Envs that evolved during infection and optimally reacted with lineage members at each step of the CH103 clone maturation path were evaluated in this placebo controlled randomized vaccine trial to test for the first time in humans the concept of whether sequential immunization with gp120 monomeric proteins can recapitulate the development of CD4bs B-cell clonal lineages, including CH103. Methods: HIV Vaccine Trials Network 115 (HVTN 115) was a randomized placebo-controlled vaccine trial at US clinical research sites. We tested the safety and immunogenicity of CH505TF gp120 + GLA-SE (Part A), and then the ability of sequential CH505 gp120 proteins (corresponding to CH505s weeks 53 and 78 Envs) + GLA-SE immunizations to induce CD4bs-specific neutralizing antibodies (Part B). We assessed binding and neutralizing antibody responses, antibody dependent cellular cytotoxicity, antibody dependent cellular phagocytosis, T-cell responses and B-cell phenotyping. Results: We enrolled 42 participants between October 2017 and May 2018 for Part A, and 65 participants from December 2020 to October 2022 for Part B. Immunization with the CH505 gp120 proteins adjuvanted with GLA-SE was well tolerated and induced CD4bs-specific B cells and Env-specific plasma antibodies. The plasma neutralizing antibody response was limited to primarily tier 1 autologous and heterologous HIV-1 strains. Blood-derived B-cell repertoire analyses identified CD4bs antibodies that preferentially bound to open-occluded trimeric Envs that exist in an intermediate state between prefusion-closed to CD4-bound open confirmations, consistent with tier 1 HIV neutralizing activity. Conclusions: Together, these results suggest that the low-affinity CH505TF gp120 monomer elicited CD4bs antibodies in the sera and B-cell repertoires of humans. However, our findings also indicate that gp120 monomers are insufficient to induce detectable bnAb precursors to epitopes on native Env trimers. Nonetheless, our data provide a benchmark for comparison with ongoing clinical trials testing high-affinity CH505 Env trimers for induction of CD4bs bnAb precursors.

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A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Single Ascending Oral Dose Study of Mocravimod: Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics in Healthy Participants

Huntjens, D.; Klingbiel, D.; Hasskarl, J.

2026-05-13 pharmacology and therapeutics 10.64898/2026.05.11.26352861 medRxiv
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Mocravimod (KRP203) is a selective sphingosine 1-phosphate (S1P) receptor modulator currently in development for patients with haematological malignancies undergoing allogenic haematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). This first-in-human, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, single ascending oral dose study evaluated the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics (PK), and pharmacodynamics (PD) of mocravimod in 136 healthy adult participants (EudraCT No. 2006-006814-13). Participants received single doses ranging from 0.01 to 40 mg or placebo, with a cohort dedicated to studying food-effect at 3 mg. Mocravimod demonstrated slow absorption (mean Tmax 6-11 hrs), extensive distribution, and a long terminal half-life (91-132 hrs). Exposure increased dose-proportionally for doses [&ge;]2 mg. The most common adverse events were headache, dizziness, and fatigue, all graded as mild or moderate; no serious adverse events or deaths occurred. Mocravimod-phosphate induced robust, dose-dependent reductions in lymphocyte counts, with significant decreases at doses [&ge;]2 mg and recovery to baseline observed in all but the highest dose groups. Cardiac effects included transient bradycardia and benign second-degree atrioventricular (AV) block at higher doses, without clinically significant arrhythmias. Food intake had minimal impact on PK. No clinically meaningful changes in pulmonary function or laboratory safety signals were detected. These results indicate that single oral doses of mocravimod up to 40 mg are safe and well tolerated in healthy adults, with predictable PK and expected PD effects. The findings support further clinical development of mocravimod as a targeted immunomodulator in settings such as allogeneic HCT for haematological malignancies.

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Within-household transmission risk of pulmonary tuberculosis in the era of universal antiretroviral therapy

Khan, P. Y.; Govender, I.; McCreesh, N.; Sithole, M.; Mkwanzai, E.; Sweeney, S.; Ording-Jespersen, G.; Wong, E. B.; Hanekom, W.; Houben, R. M. G. J.; White, R. G. M. G. J.; Smit, T.; Smith, M. J.; Fielding, K.; Grant, A. D.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354571 medRxiv
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Background Tuberculosis remains the leading infectious cause of death worldwide. In the WHO African region, declining incidence has coincided with antiretroviral therapy (ART) scale-up, though whether this reflects reduced progression to disease or reduced transmission is unclear. We evaluated how ART and symptom status influence within-household Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) transmission risk. Methods We conducted a case-contact household study in rural South Africa, enrolling index adults with bacteriologically-confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis. MTBC immunoreactivity was measured in all child household contacts (aged 2-14 years) as a proxy measure of within-household transmission. We assessed the influence of index person ART status and symptom status, and explored effect-measure modification of the association between index person HIV status and transmission risk by sex. Results Among 755 child contacts of 296 index persons, effective ART was not associated with within-household MTBC transmission risk (risk ratio [RR], 1.07; 95% CI, 0.66-1.74). Among PLHIV engaged in ART care, WHO TB four-symptom screen (WHO4SS) status was not associated with transmission risk (RR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.43-1.47), although absence of reported cough reduced risk (RR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38-0.96). A pronounced interaction between sex and HIV status was observed: HIV-negative women had the highest within-household MTBC transmission risk (30.5% vs. 14.3% in women with HIV) whereas risks were similar between HIV-positive and HIV-negative men. Conclusions We found no evidence that effective ART or WHO4SS status influenced within-household MTBC transmission risk, though confidence intervals were wide. Absence of reported cough was associated with lower risk, and transmission risk was highest among child contacts of HIV-negative women. These findings suggest reported cough is a useful marker of transmission risk and that routine tuberculosis screening within ART care may reduce transmission from PLHIV; intensified efforts are nonetheless needed to achieve earlier tuberculosis detection in HIV-negative individuals.